Hobart’s Changing Weather: From Current Conditions to Future Climate Trends

Current Weather Conditions in Hobart

As of September 2025, Hobart is experiencing showers with an 80% chance of rain. The city is experiencing cloudy conditions with northwesterly winds ranging from 20 to 30 km/h.

Seasonal Pattern and Climate Profile

Hobart features a mild temperate oceanic climate with four distinct seasons, each bringing its own unique characteristics. During summer months, the city enjoys pleasant temperatures between 11.5-21°C, with January and February being the driest periods when beaches become warm enough for swimming.

Notably, Hobart holds the distinction of being Australia’s second-driest capital city after Adelaide, with an annual average rainfall of 626mm. The city’s unique position near the Southern Ocean significantly influences its weather patterns, which can vary considerably on any given day.

Climate Change Impact and Future Projections

The region is experiencing increasing numbers of days with dangerous bushfire conditions, and climate projections indicate continued changes in the coming decades. Under a high emissions scenario, Tasmania is expected to experience an average annual temperature increase of around 0.9-1.7°C, with a central estimate of 1.2°C.

Weather Safety and Recommendations

Visitors to Hobart should monitor the UV index in local weather reports and protect themselves from sunburn by using SPF30+ sunscreen, wearing sun-smart clothing, including a hat and sunglasses. When engaging in outdoor activities, particularly bushwalking, it’s essential to be prepared for sudden weather changes by carrying extra warm clothing, including a waterproof outer layer.

The weather in Hobart can be particularly volatile, with some days experiencing dramatic shifts including hail, sunshine, and violent winds within the span of an hour. This emphasizes the importance of staying informed about current conditions and being prepared for rapid weather changes.